Argentina’s top division is the lowest scoring of the leagues we track. It has the most goalless draws, the lowest BTTS rate and one of the highest draw rates, and the goal count has been getting lower. That’s a very different league to bet on from the Bundesliga or the MLS. The table below holds the league’s tips from an outside prediction provider, shown as published.
All figures use 3,230 matches played since the start of 2021, taken from public results files.
Related Leagues
| MLS Predictions | Brasileirao | |
| Americas Football | Ligue 1 | Serie A's Weak Home Edge and Falling Goals |
Ar1
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes La Plata

19/10
12/5
no
no
no
Ar1
Boca Juniors
Vélez Sársfield

11/5
15/4
no
no
no
Ar1
Instituto Córdoba
Gimnasia Mendoza

13/5
6/1
down
no
no
Ar1
Independiente
CA Platense

21/10
4/1
down
up
up
Ar1
San Lorenzo
CA Huracán

21/10
37/20
no
no
no
Ar1
Defensa y Justicia
Newell’s Old Boys

21/10
16/5
down
no
no
Ar1
Unión Santa Fe
Central Córdoba SdE

29/10
6/1
no
no
no
Ar1
Talleres Córdoba
Lanús

37/20
12/5
up
up
down
Ar1
Rosario Central
CA Aldosivi

27/10
17/2
no
no
no
Ar1
Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes Río Cuarto

11/4
8/1
no
no
no
Ar1
Atlético Tucumán
Sarmiento Junín

9/4
15/4
no
no
no
Ar1
CA Tigre
River Plate

19/10
3/2
no
no
no
Ar1
Gimnasia La Plata
Barracas Central

21/10
17/4
no
no
no
Ar1
Argentinos Juniors
Racing Club

7/4
61/20
no
no
no
Ar1
CA Banfield
Belgrano Córdoba

37/20
3/2
no
down
no
Ar2
Almirante Brown
Ciudad Bolivar

37/20
17/4
down
down
up
Ar2
Estudiantes BsAs
Deportivo Madryn

2/1
7/2
down
no
up
Ar2
Los Andes
Ferro Carril Oeste

7/4
2/1
down
down
up
Ar2
Deportivo Morón
CA Acassuso

9/4
15/2
down
up
up
Ar2
Colon Santa Fe
San Telmo

3/1
6/1
down
up
up
Ar2
Mitre SdE
Defensores de Belgrano

19/10
9/4
down
down
up
Ar2
Racing de Cordoba
CA San Miguel

7/4
3/1
down
down
up
Ar2
Godoy Cruz
Chaco For Ever

9/4
21/4
down
up
up
Ar2
All Boys
Central Norte Salta

2/1
33/10
down
down
up
Ar2
Ferrocarril Midland
Deportivo Maipú

21/10
15/4
down
up
up
Ar2
Agropecuario
CA Güemes

9/4
17/4
down
up
up
Ar2
Atletico Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors

7/4
29/10
down
down
up
Ar2
CA Atlanta
Temperley

7/4
7/2
down
down
up
Ar2
Colegiales
Patronato Paraná

19/10
7/2
down
down
up
Ar2
Quilmes AC
Club Almagro

9/4
7/1
down
up
up
Ar2
Gimnasia y Tiro
Nueva Chicago

21/10
19/4
down
down
up
Ar2
San Martín Tucumán
San Martin San Juan

7/4
16/5
down
down
up
Ar2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Tristán Suárez

21/10
19/4
down
no
up
Ar3
Comunicaciones BA
Villa San Carlos

2/1
16/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Ituzaingó
Atlético Camioneros

2/1
4/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Talleres (RdE)
Argentino Merlo

9/4
9/2
no
no
no
Ar3
Brown de Adrogué
Excursionistas BsAs

2/1
5/4
no
no
no
Ar3
Flandria
UAI Urquiza

21/10
13/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Argentino Quilmes
Real Pilar FC

7/4
37/20
no
no
no
Ar3
Defensores Unidos
Liniers

7/4
2/1
no
no
no
Ar3
Deportivo Armenio
Villa Dálmine

17/10
19/10
no
no
no
Ar3
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano

19/10
23/20
no
no
no
Ar3
Deportivo Laferrere
Arsenal Sarandi

19/10
27/20
no
no
no
Ar3
Sportivo Dock Sud
San Martín Burzaco

7/4
21/10
no
no
no
Ar4
Berazategui
Centro Español

19/10
9/4
no
no
no
Ar4
Estrella del Sur
JJ Urquiza

7/4
11/4
no
no
no
Ar4
Argentino Rosario
Mercedes

17/10
7/4
no
no
no
Ar4
Defensores de Cambaceres
Leandro Nicéforo Alem

19/10
21/10
no
no
no
Ar4
Club Luján
Central Córdoba

7/4
11/4
no
no
no
Ar4
CA Lugano
Victoriano Arenas

17/10
21/10
no
no
no
Ar4
General Lamadrid
Deportivo Espanol

17/10
11/5
no
no
no
Ar4
El Porvenir
Yupanqui

7/4
12/5
no
no
no
Ar4
CA Atlas
Cañuelas FC

19/10
7/5
no
no
no
Ar4
Juventud Unida SM
Puerto Nuevo

7/4
11/5
no
no
no
Ar4
Leones de Rosario
Deportivo Muñiz

7/4
29/10
down
up
up
Ar4
Sportivo Barracas
Claypole

37/20
3/2
up
up
no
Ar4
CA Fénix Pilar
Central Ballester

17/10
5/2
no
no
no
Ar4
Sacachispas
Deportivo Paraguayo

11/5
5/1
no
no
no
Ar5
CA Lugano
El Porvenir

9/4
21/20
no
no
no
Ar5
Deportivo Muñiz
Defensores de Cambaceres

9/4
11/10
no
no
no
Ar5
Mercedes
Juventud Unida SM

2/1
12/5
no
no
no
Ar5
Central Ballester
Deportivo Paraguayo

11/5
2/1
no
no
no
Ar5
Sportivo Barracas
Centro Español

11/5
6/5
no
no
no
ArC
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente

–
–
ArC
Estudiantes La Plata
Vélez Sársfield

21/10
11/5
no
no
no
1 – 1(1 – 0)
Ar3
Juventud Antoniana
Alvarado Mar del Plata

7/4
3/1
no
no
no
Ar3
Argentino Monte Maíz
SCyB Atenas

–
–
Ar3
Huracán Las Heras
Club Olimpo

3/2
17/10
no
no
no
Ar3
Villa Mitre
Club Cipolletti

12/5
19/4
no
no
no
Ar3
Sportivo Las Parejas
Defensores Pto. Vilelas

12/5
4/1
no
no
no
Ar3
Boca Unidos
Indep. de Chivilcoy

2/1
27/10
no
no
no
Ar3
Sarmiento Resistencia
Escobar FC

7/4
7/4
no
no
no
Ar3
Tucumán Central
El Linqueño

37/20
13/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Circulo Deportivo
Guillermo Brown

17/10
11/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Juventud Unida SL
FADEP

17/10
27/10
no
no
no
Ar3
Santamarina Tandil
San Martín Mendoza

7/4
9/4
up
up
down
Ar3
Sol de Mayo
CD Rincón (ARG)

37/20
12/5
no
no
no
Ar3
Costa Brava
CA Germinal

12/5
9/2
no
no
no
ArC
Vélez Sársfield
Central Córdoba SdE

37/20
27/10
up
no
up
ArV
San Martín Tucumán
Gimnasia Jujuy

–
–
ArR
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Sarmiento Res.

21/10
5/2
no
no
no
ArR
Godoy Cruz Res.
Racing Club Res.

13/5
3/4
no
no
no
ArR
Banfield Res.
Tigre Res.

2/1
21/10
no
no
no
ArR
Gimnasia Esgrima Res.
Aldosivi Res.

9/4
11/4
no
no
no
ArR
Gimnasia Mendoza Res
River Plate Res.

12/5
19/20
no
no
no
ArR
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.

9/4
7/4
no
no
no
ArR
Barracas Central Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.

11/5
7/10
no
no
no
ArR
Rosario Central Res.
Instituto Res.

9/4
15/4
no
no
no
ArR
Talleres Córdoba Res.
San Lorenzo Res.

9/4
9/4
no
no
no
ArR
Huracán Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.

21/10
37/20
no
no
no
ArR
Boca Juniors Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.

4/1
7/1
no
no
no
ArR
Quilmes Res.
Colón Res.

13/5
61/20
no
no
no
ArR
Independiente Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.

21/4
11/1
no
no
no
ArR
Ferro Carril Reserves
Deportivo Riestra Res.

7/4
31/20
no
no
no
ArR
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Newell’s Old Boys Res.

21/10
31/20
no
no
no
ArR
Estudiantes RC Res.
Lanús Res.

5/2
7/10
no
no
no
ArR
Atlético Rafaela Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.

9/4
21/10
no
no
no
ArR
Platense Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res.

37/20
21/20
no
no
no
More Predictions
The league in numbers
| Measure | Argentina | Average of 18 European leagues |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a match | 2.17 | 2.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.5% | 50.7% |
| Both teams scored | 44.4% | 52.7% |
| Goalless draws | 13.0% | about 7% |
| Draws | 31.3% | 26.2% |
| Home win | 42.5% | 43.5% |
Matches averaged 2.17 goals, about half a goal fewer than the European average. Over 2.5 landed in only 37.5% of matches. About one match in eight (13.0%) ended 0-0, nearly double the rate in most leagues.
Low scoring, and getting lower
The average has fallen over the years. From 2021 to 2025 it ran 2.45, 2.33, 2.03, 2.10 and 1.95 goals a match.
The 2026 season so far is 2.15 across 449 matches.
Draws have gone the other way. They were 29.5% of matches in 2021 and 33.5% in 2023, and have stayed above 30% since. A bettor using the 2021 average would have been about half a goal too high by 2025.
Home and away
Home teams won 42.5% of matches and away teams only 26.2%. The home team scored 1.23 goals a match and the visitors 0.94. Away teams failed to score in 40.1% of matches, the highest rate in any league we track, and home teams in 28.5%.
That makes BTTS hard: only 44.4% of matches had a goal at both ends. It makes the away side’s cover tougher too. A visitor needs to score in barely three matches out of five.
The scorelines
The three most common scores are 1-0 (14.1%), 1-1 (13.9%) and 0-0 (13.0%), which together cover 41% of all matches. In the other leagues, 1-1 and 1-0 lead too, but the next most common scores have more goals in them.
If you know the final score will probably be low, the interesting lines are under 2.5 goals and BTTS no, and the draw is a bigger part of the picture than usual.
How reliable are favourites?
We found the favourite from the average closing price, with the margin removed, and counted how often it won.
| Favourite’s chance at the price | Matches | Favourite won |
|---|---|---|
| Under 45% | 1,815 | 36.8% |
| 45% to 55% | 944 | 51.0% |
| 55% to 65% | 353 | 54.1% |
| 65% or more | 118 | 69.5% |
Fewer matches have a clear favourite here than in Europe. More than half of them (1,815 of 3,230) have a favourite under 45%.
Clear favourites are less safe too. At 65% or more they won 69.5% of the time, below the roughly 77% of European favourites priced at 65% or more. The group is small (118 matches), so treat it as a lean and not a rule.
What this means for a goals line
If you’re used to over 2.5 as a balanced line, move down. In Argentina the balanced line is closer to 1.5, which landed in 64.0% of matches, against about 75% in the European data. Over 3.5 landed in only 17.8%.
The league plays a lot of football, about 580 matches a year in our data, so there’s always a list to look at. But a long list doesn’t make the matches higher scoring.
Five rules for Argentine tips
- Think under, not over. Over 2.5 starts at 37.5%.
- Respect the draw. 31.3% is among the highest rates we track.
- Don’t expect the away team to score. It failed in four matches out of ten.
- Update your numbers. The goals average has dropped a third of a goal in five years.
- Be cautious with strong favourites. They lose or draw about three times in ten even at short prices.
Common mistakes
The first is applying a European goals line to Argentina. Over 2.5 is a long shot here.
The second is backing BTTS yes on a big match. The league’s own rate is 44.4%.
The third is treating a 0-0 as unlikely. It’s one of the three most common results, and it happened in 13.0% of matches, about one in eight. A bet that wins on a goalless draw is a real possibility here, not a freak.
Questions people ask
How many goals does an Argentine league match have? 2.17 on average since 2021.
How often is a match drawn? 31.3% of the time.
How often does it end 0-0? 13.0%.
Do both teams usually score? No. 44.4% of matches.
Are home teams strong? They win 42.5%, close to the European average.
Is Argentina a good league for under bets? Under 2.5 landed in 62.5% of matches, the best under rate of the leagues we track.
Do the numbers differ by year? Yes. Goals ranged from 1.95 to 2.45 a match from one season to the next.
Where are other leagues? See Brazil and the Americas page.
Tips are estimates and not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can afford to lose.