La Liga is Spain’s top division, with twenty clubs and 380 matches a season. The numbers describe a league that starts slowly, books a lot of players and gives the home side a bigger advantage than most. The table below has the league’s tips from an outside prediction provider, shown as published. Everything under it comes from 1,900 La Liga matches between 2021/22 and 2025/26.
Related Leagues
| Brasileirao | Premier League Predictions | Bayern's Effect on the Bundesliga's Numbers |
| Ligue 1 | Serie A's Weak Home Edge and Falling Goals | Serie A's Weak Home Edge and Falling Goals |
Es1
Deportivo Alavés
Getafe
7/4
13/5
no
no
no
Es1
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
21/10
9/4
no
no
no
Es1
Racing Santander
Villarreal
5/2
5/4
no
no
no
Es1
Espanyol
Levante
9/4
29/10
no
no
no
Es1
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
9/4
29/10
no
no
no
Es1
Deportivo La Coruña
Elche
21/10
11/5
no
no
no
Es1
Atlético Madrid
Málaga CF
–
–
Es1
Valencia
Real Betis
–
–
Es1
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
–
–
Es1
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
–
–
More Predictions
A slow-starting league
The first half is where La Liga differs most. The break was level in 44.1% of matches, and a third of all first halves (32.7%) were goalless. The average first half had only 1.14 goals. Compare that with the Bundesliga, where the figures are 35.9% level and 1.47 goals.
The full-time numbers are also modest. Matches averaged 2.59 goals, and over 2.5 landed in 47.4%, below the 18-league average of 50.7%. Both teams scored in 51.8% of matches.
| Measure | La Liga |
|---|---|
| Goals a match | 2.59 |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Both teams scored | 51.8% |
| Level at half-time | 44.1% |
| Goalless first half | 32.7% |
| Home win | 45.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% |
BTTS has been rising
BTTS has changed over five seasons, running 49%, 50%, 49%, 54% and 57%. The latest season was eight points above the first. Away teams are part of the reason it stays lower than in other leagues: the visitors finished without a goal in 32.8% of matches, and the home side in 22.5%.
Home advantage
Home teams won 45.7% of La Liga matches, and only the Scottish Premiership (46.0%) and the Super Lig (45.8%) were higher among the 18 leagues. They took 56.6% of the corners. The double chance numbers show it: home win or draw (1X) landed 71.9% of the time, and away win or draw (X2) landed only 54.3%.
Results at home and away
Home teams won 45.7%, 26.2% were drawn and away teams won 28.1%. The side with more shots on target won 57.9% of matches and lost 16.9%. Home teams also had 56.6% of the corners, so the home edge shows up in almost every number.
Away teams struggled for goals in particular. Visitors failed to score in about one match in three, which feeds straight into both BTTS and the draw. Goalless draws were 7.2% of matches, against 5.1% in the Bundesliga.
Cards
La Liga is one of the most carded leagues. The average match had 4.76 yellow cards, and over 3.5 landed in 67.4% of matches and over 4.5 in 50.8%. A red card appeared in 22.2% of matches, one in every 4.5.
It takes only 5.38 fouls to earn a yellow, and the average match has 25.6 fouls. That’s a tight standard. For comparison, Ligue 2 needed 7.30 fouls per yellow.
Corners
La Liga averaged 9.50 corners a match, below the 18-league average of 9.78. Over 9.5 landed in 47.7% of matches, over 10.5 in 36.2%. The league also had a bigger home share than any other in the corner data.
Half-time and full-time
La Liga’s X/1, level at the break and a home win, happened in 16.6% of matches, the highest rate of the major leagues. Away teams that lead at the break and win are rare, at 13.8% for 2/2, the lowest of the five biggest leagues.
Champions and chasers
Barcelona won with 88 points and 102 goals in 2024/25, four ahead of Real Madrid on 84, with Atlético Madrid third on 76.
In 2025/26 Barcelona finished on 94, eight ahead of Real Madrid on 86, with Villarreal third on 72. The results in our data produce these tables.
Five rules for La Liga tips
- Be cautious on goals. Over 2.5 lands under half the time.
- Respect the first half. A level half-time score is the most common outcome.
- Lean on cards. The league books more players than most, and 22.2% of matches have a red.
- Favour the home side for cover. 1X lands about 72% of the time.
- Watch BTTS trends. The latest seasons are above the league’s average.
Common mistakes
The first is expecting goals in a big match because the teams are famous. Big clubs score more, and the league total is still lower than in Germany or the Netherlands.
The second is ignoring the away team’s goal drought. Away sides were blanked in nearly a third of matches.
The third is backing a half-time win without checking how often it’s level.
Questions people ask
How many goals are there in a La Liga match? 2.59 on average.
How often is a La Liga match level at half-time? 44.1% of the time.
How many yellow cards? 4.76 a match.
Do home teams win a lot? 45.7% of matches, the second highest rate in our data.
How many corners? 9.50 on average.
Is under 2.5 a good bet in La Liga? It landed in 52.6% of matches, a small edge over a coin toss, and no more than that.
Do La Liga matches have a lot of fouls? About 25.6 a match, more than the Premier League’s 21.5 and Bundesliga’s 22.4.
Where are other leagues? See Serie A and the Premier League.
Tips are estimates and not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can do without.