In 7,655 matches from Asia’s two largest leagues in our data, Chinese Super League sides scored 2.92 goals a match against 2.62 in Japan’s J1. Home teams won 45.3% in China and 41.0% in Japan, and Chinese favourites rated 70% or better won 83.0% against 76.3% in Japan. The two leagues sit on opposite sides of a lot of football’s averages.
Related Leagues
| Chinese Super League Predictions | J1 League |
| Asian Football | Premier League Predictions |
AFC
East Bengal
Al Arabi Kuwait

–
–
AFC
Arkadag
Goa

–
–
Am1
FC Urartu
Syunik

–
–
Am1
Gandzasar
Shirak FC

–
–
Am1
Van Yerevan
Ararat-Armenia

–
–
Am1
BKMA Yerevan
Ararat Yerevan

–
–
Am1
Sardarapat
Pyunik

–
–
Am1
Noah
Alashkert

–
–
Am2
Lernayin Artsakh
FC Ararat-Armenia-2

–
–
Am2
Olympia Yerevan
Sardarapat II

–
–
Am2
BKMA-2 Yerevan
Mika Yerevan

–
–
Am2
Hayq
Andranik

–
–
Am2
Noah II
Bentonit Ijevan

–
–
Am2
Pyunik-2
Urartu-2

–
–
Am2
Shirak-2
Araks Ararat

–
–
Az1
Kapaz PFK
Sabah

–
–
Az1
Turan Tovuz
Gabala FC

–
–
Az1
Araz Nakhchivan
Mil-Mugan

–
–
Az1
Sumqayit FK
Neftchi Baku

–
–
Az1
Zira
Shafa Baku

–
–
Az1
Qarabag
Keshla FK

–
–
Az1
Kapaz PFK
Sabah

–
–
Az1
Turan Tovuz
Gabala FC

–
–
Az1
Araz Nakhchivan
Mil-Mugan

–
–
Az1
Sumqayit FK
Neftchi Baku

–
–
Az1
Zira
Shafa Baku

–
–
Az1
Qarabag
Keshla FK

–
–
Cn1
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon

4/1
19/4
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai SIPG

13/5
21/20
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Qingdao West Coast
Chongqing Tongliang

12/5
9/4
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Shenyang City
Sichuan FC

27/10
2/1
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan

12/5
23/20
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Zhejiang FC
Chengdu Qianbao

27/10
6/5
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing

3/1
37/20
no
no
no
–
–
Cn1
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye

3/1
13/5
no
no
no
–
–
Cn2
Shaanxi Union
Changchun YaTai

–
–
Cn2
Yanbian Fude
Dalian Kuncheng

–
–
Cn2
Wuxi Wugou
Guangdong GZ-Power

–
–
Cn2
Guangxi Hengchen
Meizhou Wuhua

–
–
Cn2
Suzhou Dongwu
Nantong Zhiyun

–
–
Cn2
Shenzhen Juniors
Shanghai Jiading

–
–
Cn2
Nanjing Fengfan
Heilongjiang Lava

–
–
Cn2
Dongguan United
Hebei KungFu
–
–
Cn3
Dalian Kewei
Tai’an Tiankuang

–
–
Cn3
Rizhao Yuqi
Shanghai Port II

–
–
Cn3
Shanghai Second
Nantong Haimen

–
–
Cn3
Beijing BIT FC
Changchun Xidu

–
–
Cn3
Qingdao Red Lions
Xi’an Ronghai

–
–
Cn3
Shandong Taishan II
Dalian Yingbo B

–
–
Cn3
Shangyu Pterosaur
Guangzhou Dandelion

–
–
Cn3
Guangdong Mingtu
Wuhan Three Towns B

–
–
Cn3
Jiangxi Liansheng
Xiamen Feilu

–
–
Cn3
Yichun Grand Tiger
Shenzhen 2028

–
–
Eg1
Wadi Degla SC
FC Masr

–
–
Eg1
Zamalek SC
Ittihad Alexandria

–
–
Eg1
Abu Qair Lel Asmeda
NBE

–
–
Eg1
Petrol Asyut
Petrojet Suez

–
–
Eg1
Tala’ea Al Jaish
Arab Contractors

–
–
Eg1
Al Masry
Semouha Club

–
–
Eg1
Ghazl Al Mahalla
Pyramids

–
–
Eg1
El Gouna
Future FC

–
–
Eg1
Ahly Cairo
ENPPI Cairo

–
–
Eg1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Al Qanah

–
–
Eg1
Wadi Degla SC
FC Masr

–
–
Eg1
Zamalek SC
Ittihad Alexandria

–
–
Eg1
Abu Qair Lel Asmeda
NBE

–
–
Eg1
Petrol Asyut
Petrojet Suez

–
–
Eg1
Tala’ea Al Jaish
Arab Contractors

–
–
Eg1
Al Masry
Semouha Club

–
–
Eg1
Ghazl Al Mahalla
Pyramids

–
–
Eg1
El Gouna
Future FC

–
–
Eg1
Ahly Cairo
ENPPI Cairo

–
–
Eg1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Al Qanah

–
–
Ge1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Metalurgi Rustavi

–
–
Ge1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo

41/20
27/20
no
no
no
–
–
Ge1
Dila Gori
Meshakhte Tkibuli

–
–
Ge1
Samgurali Tsqaltubo
Dinamo Batumi

–
–
Ge1
Gagra Tbilisi
FC Spaeri

–
–
Ge2
Merani Martvili
FC Lazika

–
–
Ge2
Gareji Sagarejo
Dusheti Aragvi

–
–
Ge2
Kolkheti Poti
FC Telavi

–
–
Ge2
FC Samtredia
FC Gori

–
–
Ge2
Sioni Bolnisi
Shturmi

–
–
GeC
FC Samtredia
Saburtalo

11/4
7/10
down
down
up
–
–
HK1
Eastern AA
Shatin SA

–
–
HK1
Southern District
Hong Kong FC

–
–
HK1
HK Rangers
Kitchee SC

–
–
HK1
North District
Tai Po FC

–
–
HK1
Lee Man FC
Kowloon City

–
–
Ir1
Teraktor Sazi
Paykan FC

–
–
Ir1
Esteghlal Tehran
Mes Shahr-e Babak

–
–
Ir1
Kheybar Khorramabad
Fajr Sepasi

–
–
Ir1
Chadormalu SC
Sepahan Esfahan

–
–
Ir1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Aluminium Arak

–
–
Ir1
Gol Gohar
Nassaji Mazandaran

–
–
Ir1
Zob Ahan
Foolad Khuzestan

–
–
Ir1
Caspian Qazvin
Persepolis FC

–
–
Ir1
Sanat Naft AC
Malavan FC

–
–
Il2
Ironi Modi’in
Maccabi Herzliya

–
–
Il2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Kfar Saba

–
–
Il2
Hapoel Acre
Ironi Kiryat Gat

–
–
Il2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Kafr Qasim

–
–
Il2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Yehuda

–
–
Il2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Kiryat Yam SC

–
–
Il2
Hapoel Afula
FC Ashdod

–
–
Il2
Hapoel Raanana
Ahi Nazareth

–
–
Jp1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol

9/4
4/5
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Mito HollyHock
Gamba Osaka

11/5
3/2
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Kashima Antlers
Nagoya Grampus

13/5
7/2
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Yokohama Marinos

21/10
7/4
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Fagiano Okayama
V-Varen Nagasaki

11/5
9/4
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka

21/10
8/5
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Vissel Kobe
FC Tokyo

11/5
9/4
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kyoto Sanga

9/4
11/5
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia

11/5
1/1
no
no
no
–
–
Jp1
Urawa Red Diamonds
Sanfrecce

12/5
17/20
no
no
no
–
–
Jp2
Tochigi Uva
Vanraure Hachinohe

–
–
Jp2
Blaublitz Akita
Kataller Toyama

37/20
3/2
no
no
no
–
–
Jp2
Fujieda MYFC
Iwaki FC

21/10
7/5
no
no
no
–
–
Jp2
FC Imabari
Omiya Ardija

11/5
11/10
no
no
no
–
–
Jp2
Albirex Niigata
Consadole Sapporo

–
–
Jp2
Ventforet Kofu
Tegevajaro Miyazaki

–
–
Jp2
Shonan Bellmare
Montedio Yamagata

–
–
Jp2
Vegalta Sendai
Oita Trinita

9/4
7/2
no
no
no
–
–
Jp2
Yokohama FC
Jubilo Iwata

–
–
Jp2
Tokushima Vortis
Sagan Tosu

11/5
21/10
no
no
no
–
–
Jp3
Giravanz K.
Kamatamare Sanuki

–
–
Jp3
FC Gifu
Kochi United SC

–
–
Jp3
Roasso Kumamoto
Tochigi SC

–
–
Jp3
Renofa Yamaguchi
Ryukyu

–
–
Jp3
Zweigen Kanazawa
Fukushima United

–
–
Jp3
Thespakusatsu
Sagamihara

–
–
Jp3
Nara Club
Kagoshima United

–
–
Jp3
FC Osaka
Nagano Parceiro

–
–
Jp3
Ehime FC
Gainare Tottori

–
–
Jp3
Matsumoto Yamaga
MIO Biwako Kusatsu

–
–
JpW2
Yokohama W
NGU Lublield Nagoya W

–
–
JpW2
Shizuoka Sangyo Univ. W
Ehime W

–
–
JpW2
Setagaya Sfida W
Iga Kunoichi W

–
–
JpW2
Viamaterras Miyazaki W
Harima W

–
–
JpW2
Yunogo Belle W
Kamogawa W

–
–
JpW2
VONDS Ichihara W
Nittaidai W

–
–
JpW3
Fujizakura Yamanashi W
Diavorosso Hiroshima W

–
–
JpW3
Bunnies Gunma White Star W
SEISA OSA Rheia W

–
–
JpW3
Yamato Sylphid W
Nankatsu W

–
–
JpW3
Renofa Yamaguchi W
JFA Academy W

–
–
JpW3
Diosa Izumo W
Speranza W

–
–
JpW3
Veertien Mie W
Kibi Univ. Takahashi W

–
–
Kz1
Ulytau
Kairat Almaty

–
–
Kz1
Zhenis
FC Zhetysu

2/1
7/4
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
FK Aktobe

2/1
11/10
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
Ordabasy
Altai Semey

9/2
19/2
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
Irtysh Pavlodar
Tobol Kostanay

9/4
8/5
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
FK Kyzylzhar
Astana

9/4
3/4
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
Kaspij Aktau
Yelimay Semey

21/10
27/20
no
no
no
–
–
Kz1
FK Atyrau
FK Okzhetpes

43/20
3/2
no
no
no
–
–
Kz2
Kairat Almaty Akademiya
Akademiya Ontustik

–
–
Kz2
Aktobe-Zhas
FC Shakhter

–
–
Kz2
FC Astana Youth
Tobol II

–
–
Kz2
FK Ekibastuz
Jaiyq

–
–
Kz2
FK Taraz
FC Turan

–
–
Kz2
Kaspiy II
Yelimay II

–
–
Kz2
Khan Tengri
Arys

–
–
Qa1
Al Wakra
Qatar SC

–
–
Qa1
Rayyan SC
Lusail City FC

–
–
Qa1
Gharrafa SC
Shahaniya SC

–
–
Qa1
Arabi Doha
Shamal SC

–
–
Qa1
Al-Duhail
Sailiya SC

–
–
Qa1
Al Sadd SC
Ahli Doha

–
–
Sa1
Abha Club
Al Hazm

21/10
31/20
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Al Dir’iya
Al Ahli

9/2
2/5
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Shabab Riyadh
Qadisiya Khubar

33/10
3/5
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Neom SC
Al Feiha

49/20
13/4
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Al Hilal
Al Faisaly (KSA)

–
–
Sa1
Ettifaq FC
Al Riyadh SC

49/20
41/20
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Taawoun
Al Khaleej Club

53/20
11/4
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Al Nassr
Al Fateh (KSA)

15/2
14/1
no
no
no
–
–
Sa1
Ittihad Jeddah
Al Kholood Club

61/20
21/5
no
no
no
–
–
Sa2
Al Jeel
Al Zulfi

–
–
Sa2
Al Bukiryah
Al Anwar (KSA)

–
–
Sa2
Al Wahda Mecca
Al Adalah

–
–
Sa2
Al Najma (KSA)
Al Jndal

–
–
Sa2
Al Ta’i
Al Akhdood

–
–
Sa2
Al Oruba (KSA)
Al Raed Club

–
–
Sa2
Hajer Club
Jeddah Club

–
–
Sa2
Al-Saqer
Damak
–
–
Sa2
Al Ula
Al Jabalain

–
–
SaC
Al Bukiryah
Al Hazm

–
–
SaC
Al Oruba (KSA)
Abha Club

–
–
SaC
Al Wahda Mecca
Shabab Riyadh

–
–
SaC
Al Anwar (KSA)
Al Ahli

–
–
SaC
Al Zulfi
Al Riyadh SC

–
–
SaC
Al Ta’i
Qadisiya Khubar

–
–
SaC
Al Raed Club
Al Hilal

–
–
SaC
Al Adalah
Al Feiha

–
–
SaC
Al Akhdood
Al Khaleej Club

–
–
SaC
Al Jabalain
Ettifaq FC

–
–
SaC
Al Najma (KSA)
Ittihad Jeddah

–
–
SaC
Al Dir’iya
Al Nassr

–
–
SaC
Al Faisaly (KSA)
Neom SC

–
–
SaC
Damak
Taawoun

–
–
SaC
Jeddah Club
Al Kholood Club

–
–
SaC
Al Ula
Al Fateh (KSA)

–
–
Kr1
Jeju United
FC Anyang

11/5
2/1
down
down
up
–
–
Kr1
Gwangju FC
Pohang Steelers

21/10
17/20
down
down
up
–
–
Kr1
FC Seoul
Daejeon Citizen

12/5
13/5
down
down
up
–
–
Kr1
Bucheon FC 1995
Jeonbuk Hyundai

5/2
7/10
no
no
no
–
–
Kr1
Incheon United
Sangju Sangmu

11/5
12/5
no
no
no
–
–
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
Gangwon FC

21/10
8/5
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Cheongju FC
Jeonnam Dragons

21/10
8/5
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Gimhae City
Gyeongnam

11/5
1/1
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon FC

5/2
9/4
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Busan I’Park
Hwaseong FC

11/5
2/1
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
GimPo Citizen
Cheonan City

9/4
3/1
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Daegu FC
Asan Mugunghwa

13/5
11/4
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Paju Citizen
Seongnam FC

2/1
5/4
no
no
no
–
–
Kr2
Seoul E-Land
Ansan Greeners

4/1
7/1
no
no
no
–
–
Kr3
Dangjin Citizen
Yeoju Citizen

–
–
Kr3
Pocheon FC
Mokpo City

–
–
Kr3
Yangpyeong FC
Gyeongju KHNP

–
–
Kr3
Busan Kyotong
Changwon City

–
–
Kr3
Siheung Citizen
Daejeon Korail

–
–
Kr3
Jeonbuk Motors II
Ulsan Citizen

–
–
Kr3
Gangneung City
Chuncheon FC

–
–
Tj1
FK Eskhata
Barqi Tojik Dushanbe

–
–
Tj1
Sardor Tursunzoda
Khosilot F.

–
–
Tj1
FK Istaravshan
FK Khujand

–
–
Tj1
CSKA Pamir
FK Khatlon

–
–
Tj1
Regar-TadAZ
Parvoz

–
–
Tj1
Ravshan Kulob
Istiklol Dushanbe

–
–
Tj1
FK Eskhata
Barqi Tojik Dushanbe

–
–
Tj1
Sardor Tursunzoda
Khosilot F.

–
–
Tj1
FK Istaravshan
FK Khujand

–
–
Tj1
CSKA Pamir
FK Khatlon

–
–
Tj1
Regar-TadAZ
Parvoz

–
–
Tj1
Ravshan Kulob
Istiklol Dushanbe

–
–
Ae1
Al Nasr Dubai
Ittihad Kalba

13/5
11/4
no
no
no
–
–
Ae1
Wahda Abu Dhabi
Ajman Club

14/5
3/1
no
no
no
–
–
Ae1
Al Dhafra
Sharjah SC

–
–
Ae1
Khor Fakkan Club
Al Ahli Dubai

18/5
1/2
no
no
no
–
–
Ae1
Wasl Dubai
Dubai United

–
–
Ae1
Hatta Club
Jazira Abu Dhabi

–
–
Ae1
Baniyas
Al Ain

17/5
2/5
no
no
no
–
–
Ae2
Bataeh SC
Ittifaq

–
–
Ae2
Al Oruba (UAE)
Al Thaid

–
–
Ae2
Dubai City Club
Dubba Al Fujairah

–
–
Ae2
Al Fujairah Club
Al Jazira Al Hamra

–
–
Ae2
Palm City 365
Al Arabi (UAE)
–
–
Ae2
Dubba Al Husun
Al Hamriyah

–
–
Ae2
Forte Virtus
Emirates Club
–
–
Uz1
Surkhon
Sogdiana Jizzakh

–
–
Uz1
FK Andijan
Neftchi Fergana

–
–
Uz1
Buxoro FK
FC AGMK

–
–
Uz1
Navbahor
FC Bunyodkor

–
–
Uz1
Dinamo Samarkand
Xorazm Urganch

–
–
Uz1
Qyzylqum
Mashal Mubarek

–
–
Uz1
Qoqon FK
Lokomotiv Tashkent

–
–
Uz1
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor

–
–
VnW
PP Ha Nam W
Ha Noi W

–
–
VnW
Ho Chi Minh City W
TKS Viet Nam W

–
–
VnW
GT Thai Nguyen W
Ha Noi II W

–
–
More Predictions
Japan and China side by side
| J1 League (Japan) | Super League (China) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4,623 | 3,032 |
| Home wins | 41.0% | 45.3% |
| Draws | 24.8% | 25.5% |
| Away wins | 34.2% | 29.3% |
| Goals per match | 2.62 | 2.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.6% | 56.1% |
| Both teams scored | 51.6% | 57.3% |
| Goalless draws | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Decided by 3+ goals | 12.5% | 16.8% |
| Home side the favourite | 63.8% | 64.6% |
| Home favourites won | 48.8% | 56.9% |
| Away favourites won | 46.6% | 51.1% |
Japan has among the smallest home advantages of any league we measure, and a favourite there wins at almost the same rate home or away. China gives the home side much more of an edge and produces many more lopsided results, with one match in six decided by three goals or more.
Favourites
| Favourite’s chance | Japan: won | China: won |
|---|---|---|
| Under 40% | 37.0% | 34.1% |
| 40% to 50% | 46.4% | 42.7% |
| 50% to 60% | 54.7% | 54.8% |
| 60% to 70% | 65.1% | 70.2% |
| 70% or more | 76.3% (93 matches) | 83.0% (453 matches) |
Japan produces almost no heavy favourites, with 93 matches rated 70% or better in 4,623, while China had 453 of 3,032. The strongest Chinese favourites also beat their prices by about five points, a bigger gap than any J1 band.
Through the year
Both leagues play from spring to late autumn. Japanese scoring peaks in August (2.80) and eases to 2.42 in December. China’s tops out in November (3.28 from 162 matches) and in July (3.13).
For Asian tips
The two leagues need different treatment: lean on favourites and home sides in China, and expect a more even contest in Japan.
Asian league bets suit only those 18 and older, and only with spare money.