Premier League Predictions: Corners, Cards and Team Stats

The Premier League has twenty clubs and 380 matches a season, and it’s the most watched league in the world. This page explains what a typical Premier League match looks like, which bets suit it, and where the numbers differ from other leagues. The table below holds the league’s tips from an outside prediction provider, shown as published.

All figures come from 1,900 Premier League matches played between 2021/22 and 2025/26, apart from the table facts, which come from the last two completed seasons.

Related Leagues

Serie A's Weak Home Edge and Falling Goals Brasileirao Bayern's Effect on the Bundesliga's Numbers
Why La Liga Hands Out So Many Cards Ligue 1 Ligue 1
Round 1

EPL

Arsenal
Coventry City

791110
13–0
3 – 0
3.24
32°
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EPL

Hull City
Manchester United

192854
20–3
0 – 3
2.89
29°
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EPL

Nottingham Forest
Leeds United

353728
X1–1
1 – 1
2.40
31°
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EPL

Ipswich Town
Sunderland

382736
12–1
2 – 1
2.56
30°
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EPL

Everton
Crystal Palace

422829
12–1
2 – 1
2.64
21°
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EPL

Brentford
Tottenham

303238
21–2
1 – 2
2.75
32°
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EPL

Manchester City
Bournemouth

671914
13–0
3 – 0
3.37
27°
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EPL

Brighton
Aston Villa

302842
21–2
1 – 2
2.77
22°
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EPL

Newcastle United
Liverpool

381844
21–3
1 – 3
3.20
22°
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EPL

Fulham
Chelsea

322544
21–2
1 – 2
2.57
32°
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What a Premier League match looks like

The average match had 2.93 goals, 10.33 corners and 3.79 yellow cards. That’s more goals and more corners than most leagues, and fewer cards than the average of 4.14 across 18 leagues.

Measure Premier League
Goals a match 2.93
Over 2.5 goals 56.6%
Over 3.5 goals 34.2%
Both teams scored 55.3%
Goalless draws 5.2%
Home win 44.2%
Draw 23.9%
Corners a match 10.33
Yellow cards a match 3.79
Match with a red card 10.6%

The draw rate of 23.9% was the lowest of all 18 leagues, level with the Scottish Premiership. A draw is less likely in the Premier League than almost anywhere, and a goalless draw happens in only about one match in twenty.

How the title races have gone

In 2024/25, Liverpool finished on 84 points, ten ahead of Arsenal on 74, with Manchester City third on 71.

In 2025/26 Arsenal finished top with 85 points, seven ahead of Manchester City on 78, with Manchester United third on 71. Table positions come from the results in our data.

Home and away

Home teams won 44.2% of matches and away teams 31.9%, with 23.9% drawn. Home advantage is a little smaller here than in La Liga or the Scottish Premiership, where home sides won 45.7% and 46.0%. The Premier League is among the more balanced leagues: an away win is a real possibility in almost any fixture.

Goals and BTTS

Over 2.5 landed in 56.6% of matches and BTTS in 55.3%. Both are above the 18-league averages of 50.7% and 52.7%. The Premier League isn’t the highest scoring league, since the Bundesliga is higher on both, but it’s consistently on the open side.

Corners

Premier League matches averaged 10.33 corners, the second highest of the 18 leagues after the Scottish Premiership. Over 9.5 landed in 58.1% of matches and over 10.5 in 46.5%. Home teams took 54.6% of the corners.

Cards and referees

Cards are lighter than in southern Europe. The average was 3.79 yellow cards, and a red card appeared in only 10.6% of matches, one of the lowest rates in the data (the Championship was 10.3%).

Referees differ. Seventeen referees took charge of at least 50 matches, and their yellow card averages ran from 3.39 to 4.43.

The yellow cards a match have also moved over the years. The Premier League averaged about 3.2 in the early 2010s, 4.17 in 2023/24 and 3.75 in 2025/26.

First halves and turnarounds

The first half averaged 1.30 goals, and the break was level in 38.4% of matches. The most common half-time/full-time results were home lead and home win (27.0%), away lead and away win (18.1%) and level then level (13.3%).

The Premier League had the most turnarounds of any league, where a team trails at the break and wins, or leads and loses. They happened in 6.0% of matches, about one in 17. A team trailing by a goal at half-time avoided defeat 35.6% of the time.

Which bets suit the league

Goals and BTTS suit the league because they start above 55%. Corners suit it because over 9.5 landed in 58.1% of matches. Cards are a more careful choice, because the league is light on bookings and referees vary. Half-time bets need care because turnarounds are common, and the draw at the break is only 38.4%, less than in La Liga or the Segunda División.

Five rules for Premier League tips

  1. Treat the draw as less likely than elsewhere. 23.9% is low, and double chance on a home side can lose to an away win instead.
  2. Lean on goals. Over 2.5 and BTTS start above 55%.
  3. Check the referee. A card line needs the appointed referee’s average.
  4. Respect the leaders’ prices. Title-chasing clubs are heavy favourites at home, and prices are short.
  5. Expect late changes. With the most turnarounds of any league, a half-time lead isn’t safe.

Common mistakes

The first is assuming the league is unpredictable and therefore tipping upsets. Home wins were 44.2% of matches, and favourites at short prices win about as often as their prices say.

The second is applying last season’s card count. The average moved by about a card over the last decade.

The third is backing over 3.5 goals just because the league has goals. It landed in 34.2% of matches, a long way from a majority.

Questions people ask

How many teams are in the Premier League? Twenty, who play 38 matches each.

How many goals does a Premier League match have? 2.93 on average in our data.

How often do both teams score? 55.3% of the time.

How many corners are there? 10.33 on average.

How many yellow cards? 3.79, with a red card in about one match in ten.

Does the Premier League have a lot of draws? Fewer than almost any other league, 23.9%.

Where do I find the other leagues? See Bundesliga, La Liga and Serie A.

Tips are estimates and not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can afford to lose.