Bayern’s Effect on the Bundesliga’s Numbers

The Bundesliga has eighteen clubs and 306 matches a season, and it’s the highest scoring of the big European leagues. That’s the first thing to know about betting on it. The table below has the league’s tips from an outside prediction provider, shown as published. The rest of this page uses 1,529 Bundesliga matches from 2021/22 to 2025/26 to show what the numbers say.

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Round 36, Final

De1

Paderborn
Wolfsburg

273934
X1–1
1 – 1
2.20
24°
12/5

9/4
12/5
23/20
no
no
no

AET
FT
2 – 1

1 – 1(1 – 1)

0.14
Round 35, Final

De1

Wolfsburg
Paderborn

343631
X1–1
1 – 1
2.00
19°
29/10

3/5
29/10
17/4
no
no
no

FT
0 – 0(0 – 0)
0.14

The goals

The average match had 3.18 goals. Over 2.5 landed in 61.0% of matches, over 3.5 in 40.8%, and only 5.1% finished 0-0. Only the Eredivisie is near it on goals. Bundesliga matches also had 9.55 shots on target on average, and turned 33.3% of them into goals, a higher conversion rate than any of the other 17 leagues in our data.

Bayern Munich are part of the story. In 2024/25 they won the title with 82 points and 99 goals.

In 2025/26 they won it again with 89 points and 122 goals, ahead of Dortmund on 73 and Leipzig on 65. Table positions come from the results in our data.

Home and away

Home teams won 44.1% of Bundesliga matches, the draw took 24.9% and away teams won 31.0%.

The team with more shots on target won 61.0% of matches, drew 24.2% and lost 14.9%. Shots are plentiful here, with 26.10 in the average match.

Both teams scoring

BTTS landed in 60.1% of matches, the highest of the 18 leagues. It’s also one of the steadiest. Season by season it ran 61%, 59%, 62%, 57% and 62%. Teams rarely fail to score: the home side finished without a goal in 19.0% of matches and the away side in 26.0%.

The scorelines

The most common final score over the last three seasons was 1-1, at 9.2%. Next came 2-1 (7.1%), then 2-2 and 1-2 (6.6% each). A 1-0 win, the commonest result in many leagues, was only fifth at 6.3%. That’s what an open league looks like: scores of two goals for each team are common and a clean sheet is uncommon.

First halves

German first halves are lively. The average first half had 1.47 goals, and 43.8% had two or more. The break was level in only 35.9% of matches, the lowest rate in the data, and a home lead was fractionally more common at 36.0%. Just 22.8% of first halves were goalless.

Half-time/full-time Share
Home lead, home win 28.8%
Away lead, away win 18.9%
Level, then level 14.1%
Level, then home win 12.0%

A team that trailed by a goal at the break avoided defeat 36.0% of the time, the second highest rate among the leagues.

Corners and cards

Corners aren’t a Bundesliga strength. Matches averaged 9.74, a little below the 18-league average of 9.78, and over 9.5 landed in 50.8% of matches. A league with so many goals doesn’t produce extra corners, which is a reminder that the two aren’t linked.

Cards are light. Yellow cards averaged 3.89 a match, and a red card appeared in 13.7% of matches.

The second division

The 2. Bundesliga is almost as open. Matches averaged 2.98 goals, over 2.5 landed in 59.1% and BTTS in 58.6%. It averaged 4.42 yellow cards, which is more than the top division by half a card.

When the matches are played

In the last three seasons Saturday carried about three in five matches (62%) and Sunday a quarter (25%). Friday night took about one in ten. That makes Saturday’s afternoon kick-offs the main source of tips, and a weekend list is dominated by this league more than by any other.

Five rules for Bundesliga tips

  1. Start with goals. Over 2.5 starts at 61%, which is higher than any other major league.
  2. Don’t expect a clean sheet. The visitors score in 74% of matches and the home side in 81%.
  3. Check the half-time lines. First halves are lively and level breaks are less common than elsewhere.
  4. Don’t mix up goals and corners. Corner totals are average.
  5. Remember Bayern. Heavy home favourites can win by many goals, which changes handicap lines more than totals.

Common mistakes

The first is backing over 3.5 every week because the league scores. It landed in 40.8% of matches, so it still loses more than half the time.

The second is expecting a draw to be unlikely and ignoring it entirely. 24.9% of matches were drawn.

The third is applying Bundesliga numbers to the second division without checking: yellow cards, for one, are higher there.

Questions people ask

How many teams are in the Bundesliga? Eighteen.

How many goals are there in a Bundesliga match? 3.18 on average in our data.

How often do both teams score? 60.1% of matches.

Is the Bundesliga the highest scoring league? Of the 18 leagues in our data, yes.

How many corners are there? 9.74 on average.

How often is a match drawn? 24.9%.

Does a high-scoring league mean more cards or corners? No. Corners were close to average at 9.74 a match, and yellow cards were 3.89 against an 18-league average of 4.14.

Where are the other leagues? See the Premier League and Eredivisie pages.

Tips are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can afford to lose.