Tomorrow’s Corner Tips: Who Wins the Corner Count

Corner bets come in a few forms. The usual one is the total, over or under a line like 9.5. Others ask which team will take more corners, or give one team a head start in corners, the way a handicap does with goals. Tomorrow’s corner tips are in the table below, from an outside prediction provider and shown as published.

Today’s page covers the totals. This page covers the other half, which team takes the corners, because that’s where the favourite’s strength really matters. We use 33,323 league matches with corner counts, and the favourite is whoever the closing price makes the favourite.

Today’s tips

Half-Time Today Goalscorers Predictions For Today Double Chance Predictions For Today
Corners Today Asian Handicap Predictions For Today Both Teams To Score Predictions For Today
Yellow Cards Today Half-Time/Full-Time Today Heavy Favourites Of The Day

Gt1

CSD Municipal
Cobán Imperial

43
57
Over6–4
6 – 4
10.07
25°
–


Ni1

San Marcos
UNAN Managua

60
40
Under3–4
3 – 4
8.00
31°
–


Co1

Jaguares de Córdoba
Once Caldas

39
61
Over4–7
4 – 7
11.77
30°
–


Ar1

Argentinos Juniors
Racing Club

62
38
Under4–4
4 – 4
8.02
11°
–


Hn1

CD Motagua
Estrella Roja

44
56
Over8–2
8 – 2
10.10
28°
–


Pa1

Sporting SM FC
Alianza FC (PAN)

55
45
Under4–3
4 – 3
8.54
23°
–


Bo1

Oriente Petrolero
Univ de Vinto

39
61
Over5–7
5 – 7
10.35
29°
–


Sv1

CD FAS
Atlético Balboa

51
49
Under6–3
6 – 3
9.20
32°
–


LC

Philadelphia Union
Club Necaxa

44
56
Over9–4
9 – 4
10.56
29°
–


LC

Cruz Azul
New York City FC

52
48
Under5–4
5 – 4
9.24
33°
–


Cr1

CS Herediano
LD Alajuelense

49
51
Over6–5
6 – 5
9.54
24°
–


Cl1

Univ de Chile
Palestino

47
53
Over8–3
8 – 3
9.77
9°
–


Ec1

Guayaquil City
CS Emelec

62
38
Under5–4
5 – 4
6.83
34°
–





OFC

AS Vénus
Tiga Sport

55
45
Under0–0
0 – 0
9.25
25°
–


Gt2

CSD Sacachispas
Deportivo Mictlán

61
39
Under2–5
2 – 5
6.83
33°
–


LC

Nashville SC
Atlético San Luis

62
38
Under4–3
4 – 3
8.23
33°
–


LC

Chicago Fire
Santos Laguna

51
49
Under5–4
5 – 4
8.94
26°
–


Ni1

Matagalpa FC
Managua FC

56
44
Under3–6
3 – 6
7.76
–


Gt2

Huehuetecos
Cotzumalguapa

72
28
Under0–5
0 – 5
5.32
14°
–


LC

Austin FC
Puebla FC

46
54
Over4–6
4 – 6
10.32
36°
–


Co1

América de Cali
Atlético Nacional

49
51
Over5–5
5 – 5
9.53
16°
–


Hn1

Atlético Independiente
Atlético Choloma

52
48
Under1–2
1 – 2
8.98
17°
–


LC

San Diego
Club Tijuana

60
40
Under4–2
4 – 2
7.69
26°
–


LC

Club América
Portland Timbers

41
59
Over6–6
6 – 6
10.45
28°
–


OFC

Central Coast
Auckland City

57
43
Under4–5
4 – 5
7.46
25°
–


Ua1

Polissya Zhy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

51
49
Under4–5
4 – 5
9.19
27°
–


By2

Gomel II
Shakhtyor Soligorsk

52
48
Under4–5
4 – 5
7.53
27°
–


By2

FK Minsk-2
Ostrovets FC

53
47
Under6–3
6 – 3
8.80
24°
–


Bg2

PFK Nesebar
Dobrudzha

60
40
Under1–6
1 – 6
8.47
23°
–


Ua1

Karpaty Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy

51
49
Under4–5
4 – 5
9.29
29°
–


By2

FK Volna Pinsk
Uni Minsk

59
41
Under2–4
2 – 4
8.25
28°
–


By2

FK Smorgon
BATE II

38
62
Over4–6
4 – 6
12.47
23°
–


By2

FK Orsha
FC Molodechno

58
42
Under3–5
3 – 5
7.07
23°
–


Sk2

MŠK Považská Bystrica
Zlate Moravce

38
62
Over8–5
8 – 5
12.27
30°
–


Ro1

FC Botosani
Corvinul Hunedoara

56
44
Under6–3
6 – 3
8.90
29°
–


Lt1

Transinvest
Panevezys

49
51
Over5–5
5 – 5
10.10
23°
–


Bg1

Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia

47
53
Over7–3
7 – 3
9.88
34°
–


Si1

ND Mura
NK Radomlje

58
42
Under3–6
3 – 6
8.48
36°
–


Am1

Alashkert
BKMA Yerevan

52
48
Under6–3
6 – 3
8.90
33°
–


Ee2

Flora Tallinn II
Nomme Kalju II

34
66
Over6–4
6 – 4
11.84
14°
–


Lt2

Zalgiris-2
Kauno Zalgiris-2

36
64
Over5–5
5 – 5
11.14
23°
–


Cl3

Real San Joaquín
Santiago Morning

52
48
Under7–2
7 – 2
9.23
12°
–


Ru1

Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny

61
39
Under6–3
6 – 3
7.65
24°
–


Lv1

Rigas Futbola skola
Grobinas SC

43
57
Over7–6
7 – 6
10.08
26°
–


Lt1

FK Riteriai
Zalgiris

46
54
Over2–8
2 – 8
10.03
10°
–
Cancl.


Se1

Sirius IK
Brommapojkarna

40
60
Over5–5
5 – 5
11.19
21°
–


Se1

Vasteras SK FK
Djurgårdens

44
56
Over4–7
4 – 7
9.51
21°
–


Dk1

Silkeborg
Odense BK

39
61
Over6–6
6 – 6
10.83
20°
–


Bg2

Beroe Stara Zagora
Ludogorets II

59
41
Under3–3
3 – 3
8.25
20°
–


Se2

Norrby IF
Örebro SK

54
46
Under3–4
3 – 4
9.18
19°
–


Pt2

SL Benfica B
Leixões SC

62
38
Under4–3
4 – 3
8.54
28°
–


Pt2

Lusitânia FC
FC Porto B

55
45
Under5–3
5 – 3
8.02
25°
–


Pl2

Unia Skierniewice
Arka Gdynia

54
46
Under6–1
6 – 1
8.15
30°
–


No2

Moss FK
Odd BK

39
61
Over7–6
7 – 6
10.27
19°
–


KW2

Sahel (KUW)
Al Shamiya

57
43
Under4–3
4 – 3
8.55
39°
–


KW2

Khaitan SC
Al Jazira

71
29
Under5–3
5 – 3
5.73
39°
–


Fo1

Klaksvik
HB Torshavn

57
43
Under3–2
3 – 2
9.42
9°
–


Nl2

Jong AZ Alkmaar
FC Eindhoven

40
60
Over6–5
6 – 5
10.84
23°
–


Nl2

Jong PSV
Volendam

52
48
Under5–4
5 – 4
8.65
28°
–


Ar2

All Boys
Central Norte Salta

60
40
Under4–4
4 – 4
7.84
12°
–


Ar2

Gimnasia Jujuy
Tristán Suárez

48
52
Over6–4
6 – 4
9.96
11°
–


Ar4

Leones de Rosario
Deportivo Muñiz

59
41
Under4–5
4 – 5
7.77
10°
–


Ar4

Sportivo Barracas
Claypole

64
36
Under3–4
3 – 4
7.95
10°
–


Ar4

CA Fénix Pilar
Central Ballester

64
36
Under5–4
5 – 4
7.46
8°
–


Ar4

Sacachispas
Deportivo Paraguayo

53
47
Under4–5
4 – 5
9.02
10°
–


Fo1

NSÍ Runavík
Skala IF

38
62
Over5–9
5 – 9
11.23
10°
–


BrM

Athletic Club U20
Coimbra U20

49
51
Over8–4
8 – 4
9.51
–


Bg1

Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna

51
49
Under6–2
6 – 2
9.25
33°
–


Ro1

Cluj
Univ Cluj-Napoca

49
51
Over7–5
7 – 5
9.68
15°
–


Ro1

Sepsi OSK
FCSB

63
37
Under3–5
3 – 5
9.10
34°
–


Tr2

Pendikspor
Batman Petrolspor

65
35
Under6–3
6 – 3
7.22
32°
–


IL

Carshalton
Wingate & Finchley

87
13
Under1–0
1 – 0
2.39
26°
–


NIW

Craigavon City W
Greenisland W

76
24
Under1–2
1 – 2
5.08
13°
–


EFL

Plymouth Argyle
Exeter City

40
60
Over7–4
7 – 4
10.90
23°
–


Ec1

Tecnico
Mushuc Runa

58
42
Under3–6
3 – 6
9.18
16°
–


PtU

Academico Viseu U23
Estrela U23

54
46
Under5–4
5 – 4
9.38
31°
–


Pt1

Santa Clara
Nacional Madeira

43
57
Over6–4
6 – 4
10.35
23°
–


Is1

Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik

32
68
Over9–7
9 – 7
11.82
12°
–


Is3

Vikingur Olafsvik
UMF Selfoss

54
46
Under2–4
2 – 4
8.78
11°
–


Ve1

Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes FC

58
42
Under2–2
2 – 2
6.85
34°
–


Py2

Tacuary FBC
Guaireña FC

77
23
Under2–1
2 – 1
4.73
14°
–


Co1

Rionegro Águilas
Llaneros FC (COL)

55
45
Under3–6
3 – 6
9.22
23°
–


BrW

Botafogo W
Fluminense W

55
45
Under3–5
3 – 5
8.75
28°
–
Postp.


Ec1

Libertad FC (ECU)
Univ Católica Quito

48
52
Over5–5
5 – 5
9.72
21°
–


Py1

Libertad
Sportivo Trinidense

59
41
Under5–3
5 – 3
7.80
16°
–


Ar1

CA Banfield
Belgrano Córdoba

60
40
Under4–4
4 – 4
8.56
9°
–


Uy1

CD Maldonado
Racing Club (URU)

57
43
Under5–4
5 – 4
8.49
7°
–


Py2

CA Tembetary
General Caballero JLM

65
35
Under2–2
2 – 2
5.90
13°
–


BrP

Oeste U20
Botafogo SP U20

43
57
Over3–7
3 – 7
10.51
15°
–


Ve1

Caracas
Deportivo La Guaira

62
38
Under6–2
6 – 2
6.82
28°
–


Br2

Goiás
Londrina

39
61
Over4–6
4 – 6
11.20
36°
–

Weekend tips

Weekend Double Chance Weekend Asian Handicap Weekend Both Teams To Score
Weekend 1X2 Weekend Goalscorer Tips Weekend Yellow Card Tips
Weekend Corner Tips Weekend Half-Time Tips Weekend Football

How these bets are settled

Totals and “most corners” bets count the corners in the 90 minutes plus added time. A match where both sides take the same number is a tie. Bookmakers treat that differently, some offering a tie option and some counting it as a loss, so check before you bet. Corner handicaps add or subtract corners from one side before comparing. Rules for corners awarded just before the whistle or overturned on review vary, so read yours.

The stronger the favourite, the bigger its share

The favourite’s price is the best simple guide to who’ll take the corners:

Favourite’s chance at the price Matches Share of corners Average corners (fav v opponent) Won the corner count
Under 45% 13,985 52.6% 5.07 v 4.57 49.9%
45% to 55% 9,681 57.5% 5.62 v 4.16 59.4%
55% to 65% 5,347 61.8% 6.09 v 3.76 66.7%
65% to 75% 2,707 66.9% 6.69 v 3.31 76.7%
75% or more 1,603 73.4% 7.71 v 2.79 84.5%

A 75% favourite takes nearly three quarters of the corners, which is 7.71 against 2.79. And it wins the corner count in 84.5% of matches, almost exactly as often as it wins the match (83.7%).

For weak favourites, the corner count is a coin toss. Under 45%, the favourite won the corner count only 49.9% of the time.

A worked example

Say tomorrow’s list has a home side priced at 70% to win. That’s in the 65% to 75% band, where favourites averaged 6.69 corners against 3.31 for the opponent. A “most corners” bet on the favourite won 76.7% of the time at that price. A corner handicap of -2.5 on the favourite would be much closer to even, because the average gap was 3.4.

Now say the favourite is priced at 40%. The average split was 5.07 to 4.57, and the favourite won the corner count only 49.9% of the time. A bet on it is a coin toss, and no amount of reputation changes that.

The total barely changes

The strength of the favourite hardly moves the total. Matches with a weak favourite averaged 9.64 corners, and those with a heavy favourite 10.50. So a mismatch gives you a skewed split and only about one extra corner overall.

Does more corners mean a win?

Not much. The team with more corners won 38.4% of matches and lost 35.3%. Among matches with a clear winner (24,603), winners averaged 4.98 corners and losers 4.75, and the loser took more corners in 43.2% of them.

Even a very big corner lead doesn’t help. When one team had seven or more corners than the other (4,741 matches), it won 39.6%, drew 28.4% and lost 32.0%. Corners follow pressure, and pressure doesn’t always turn into goals.

When corners go to the team that’s losing

Teams who are behind attack more, and the corners show it. The home share of corners was 58.1% when the home side trailed at half-time, 55.3% when the match was level and 51.8% when it led.

That’s a reason to be careful with “most corners” bets on a strong favourite who scores early. The match can turn into one where the underdog takes more of the late corners.

Five rules for corner tips

  1. Use the favourite’s price. Above 65% the favourite wins the corner count about three times in four.
  2. Don’t expect a big total. Mismatches skew the split and barely change the sum.
  3. Don’t read corners as dominance. Seven more corners than the opponent still lost 32.0% of the time.
  4. Remember game state. Trailing teams take more corners late.
  5. Check the tie rule. A tied corner count is handled differently from one bookmaker to the next.

Common mistakes

The first is betting on the corner count of a match between two equal teams. It’s a coin toss, and even the weak favourite band came in at 49.9%.

The second is expecting an early goal to be followed by more corners for the leader. The data points the other way, and the home share was lowest when the home side led.

The third is treating corner totals and goals as linked. They aren’t. The correlation in our data was close to zero.

Questions people ask

Who takes more corners, the favourite or the underdog? The favourite. At a price of 75% or more, it took 73.4%.

Does the team with more corners win? Less often than you’d think: 38.4% of the time.

What’s a corner handicap? A head start in corners given to one team.

Do home teams take more corners? Yes. About 54.9% of all corners.

Is the corner total affected by the favourite? Only slightly, from 9.64 to 10.50.

Where are today’s and the weekend’s tips? On the today page and the weekend page.

Tips are estimates and not promises. You have to be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can afford to lose.