A corner bet is about how many corners a match will have, or which team wins more of them. The usual form is over or under a line such as 9.5. Over 9.5 wins if there are ten corners or more in total, and under 9.5 wins if there are nine or fewer. There are also bets on a single team’s corners, on the first corner and on corner handicaps.
The table below shows today’s corner tips from an outside prediction provider, shown as published. Under it we look at how many corners a match really produces, which leagues have the most, and how much anything we know before kick-off tells us about the total.
Other tips for today
AuC
Brisbane Roar
Sydney FC
45

Cz3
Hradec Kralove B
Pardubice B
49

Cz3
FK Jablonec B
Horní Ředice
32

Cz3
Karvina II
CSK Uherský Brod
38

Cz3
Sigma Olomouc B
Slovacko B
49

Cz3
1. FC Brno B
Frydek-Mistek
45

Cz4
Meteor Praha VIII
Slavoj Vysehrad
58

Cz4
FC Brumov
Prostějov II
20

At2
SKU Amstetten
Admira
37

Sk2
MSK Zilina B
FK Pohronie
46

Sk2
Slovan Bratislava Youth
STK Samorin
57

Cz3
FK Zlin B
Polanka nad Odrou
42

Jp1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
51

Jp2
Iwaki FC
FC Imabari
51

Ua2
Polissya II
Metalist Kharkov
37

Jp3
Fukushima United
Kamatamare Sanuki
55

De6
Bayern U19
Unterhaching U19
13

De6
Schalke 04 U19
Duisburg U19
16

De6
Borussia M’gladbach U19
Saarbrucken U19
2

DeW
Meppen W
Hoffenheim II W
28

SiW
Cerklje W
ŽNK Ljubljana W
11

Cn3
Dalian Kewei
Rizhao Yuqi
4

Jp3
MIO Biwako Kusatsu
FC Gifu
59

In3
NA Suruchi Sangha
Kalighat Club
17

In3
Police
Rainbow
23

AuC
South Melbourne
Fremantle City
44

Jp1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
47

Ua1
Zorya Lugansk
Kryvbas
44

Pt2
SC Farense
União Torreense
35

Jp2
Montedio Yamagata
Tochigi Uva
48

Cn2
Yanbian Fude
Shenzhen Juniors
51

Ru4
Akron II
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod
36

Jp3
Ehime FC
Nara Club
56

Jp3
Tochigi SC
Zweigen Kanazawa
52

Ua3
Oleksandria II
Metalurh Zaporizhzhia
49

Pt3
AD Marco 09
Pacos de Ferreira
30

De6
Bayer Leverkusen U19
Bochum U19
7

Pl4
Luzino
Bałtyk Koszalin
31

Pl4
Miedź Legnica II
Barycz Sułów
43

PlW
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Legia Ladies W
51

Nl1
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
52

Nl2
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
52

No3
Rana
Skeid Fotball
55

Ua3
Rebel
Karbon
41

Dk2
Hvidovre IF
Esbjerg fB
60

Cn1
Henan Jianye
Qingdao West Coast
38

Ua2
Probiy Horodenka
Chernihiv
44

Cn2
Wuxi Wugou
Shanghai Jiading
43

By2
Niva Dolbizno
Energetik-BGU
43

Se3
Umea FC
AFC Eskilstuna
56

Se3
Vasalunds IF
Stockholm Internazionale
43

No3
Eik-Tonsberg
SK Traeff
48

Dk3
Næstved BK
Hellerup IK
47

Pl3
Legia Warszawa II
Swit Skolwin
56

Ru4
KDV
Krylia-2 Sovetov
45

Ru4
Dynamo Barnaul
FK Ural-2
44

SzW
Thun W
Etoile Carouge W
6

NoW2
Klepp W
Fyllingsdalen W
33

NoW2
Start W
Frigg W
24

Se4
Herrestads AIF
Tord
37

Se4
IK Franke
Enskede IK
32

Se4
IFK Umeå
Fränsta
25

Se4
Eker Örebro
FC Nacka Iliria
25

Se4
BK Astrio
Torslanda IK
54

Se4
Jonsered
Landvetter IS
51

Ru1
Dynamo Moscow
FC Dynamo Makhachkala
47

De2
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
45

De2
Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
52

De2
St Pauli
Greuther Fürth
49

Be1
Gent
KV Mechelen
47

De3
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
58

Cn2
Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangxi Hengchen
45

De6
Heidenheim U19
Karlsruher U19
7

RuW
Lokomotiv Moscow W
CSKA Moscow W
35

Cn1
Chongqing Tongliang
Shanghai SIPG
55

Se1
Malmö
Degerfors IF
52

Se1
Hammarby IF
Häcken
60

FA
Erith & Belvedere
Billingshurst
1

Ch1
Lugano
Zürich
53

Fi1
KuPS Kuopio
TPS Turku
49

Dk2
AaB Aalborg
Kolding IF
48

Dk2
Vejle BK
Hillerod
56

Cn1
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
51

Fi2
Klubi 04
FC KTP
45

By2
FK Lida
FK Slutsk
51

Ru4
NoSta Novotroitsk
Chelyabinsk II
36

Ua3
Nyva Ternopil II
Dnister Zalishchyky
42

De4
Hallescher FC
Chemnitzer FC
9

De4
Erzgebirge Aue
BFC Preussen
16

De4
BFC Dynamo
FSV Zwickau
6

SeW
Pitea W
Hacken W
53

NoW2
Odd W
Grei W
21

Se4
Motala AIF
Husqvarna FF
42

Se4
Dalstorps IF
IK Kongahälla
48

No1
Lillestrom SK
Rosenborg BK
56

Nl1
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
49

Nl1
Groningen
Utrecht
46

Sc1
Kilmarnock
Celtic
59

Ua1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Shakhtar Donetsk
42

Pl2
LKS Lodz
Chrobry Glogow
58

Cz2
Banik Ostrava B
Taborsko
58

No3
Brattvag IL
Lysekloster
46

Pl3
Avia Świdnik
Sandecja
49

Mw1
Big Bullets (MAL)
Chitipa United
30

Mw1
Red Lions
Kamuzu Barracks
41

Mw1
Masters Security
CIVO United
32

Mw1
Mitundu Baptist
Karonga United
39

Ua3
Vilkhivtsi
Bratslav Vinnytsia
16

De6
Mainz U19
Koln U19
7

Pl1
Slask Wroclaw
Cracovia
41

FA
Little Common
Haywards Heath Town
5
FA
Worsbrough Bridge
Trafford FC
5
Cz1
Slavia Praha
FK Pardubice
52

Se2
Varbergs BoIS
Sandvikens IF
46

Pt2
FC Vizela
Uniao Leiria
44

Dk2
FC Fredericia
Vendsyssel FF
65

Am1
Pyunik
Van Yerevan
39

Ge1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Samgurali Tsqaltubo
51

Kz1
Tobol Kostanay
Kaisar Kyzylorda
42

Kz1
Astana
FK Okzhetpes
48

Lv1
FK Jelgava
Auda
51

Lv1
Supernova Riga
FK Liepaja
56

Ua2
Yarud Mariupol
SC Poltava
49

Py2
Sportivo Carapeguá
Fernando de la Mora
34

Py2
Benjamín Aceval
3 de Noviembre
34

Ru4
FK Orenburg-2
Zenit-Izhevsk
33

Ru4
Rubin-2 Kazan
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
41

ZaC
AmaZulu FC
Sekhukhune Utd
40

BrC
Linense SP
Grêmio Prudente
40

BrC
Noroeste SP
XV de Piracicaba SP
48

Fi4
KPV Kokkola
VJS
65

SzW
News Stars Basel W
Wil W
6

NoW2
Kolbotn W
Viking FK W
32

Se4
IFK Trelleborg
Växjö Norra IF
56

Se4
Lindö FF
Fittja IF
51

Hu1
Paksi
Budapest Honved
56

No3
Tromsdalen UIL
Lorenskog IF
48

Wl2
Baglan Dragons
Swansea Univ.
21

Ro2
Chindia Targoviste
CS Metaloglobus
47

Ru4
Dynamo Makhachkala
Rubin Yalta
26

By1
FC Baranovichi
BATE Borisov
42

Ru1
Zenit
Rodina Moscow
45

Br1
Cruzeiro
Mirassol SP
49

Sc1
Hearts
Dundee United
68

Sc1
Motherwell
Falkirk FC
39

Be1
Zulte Waregem
Racing Genk
45

Be1
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
63

Dk1
Randers FC
Lyngby BK
55

Ie1
Waterford United
Bohemians FC
63

FA
Hallam
Irlam
1
FA
Beverley Town
Northwich
4
Fi1
Inter Turku
FC Lahti
44

Ru2
KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Volga Ulyanovsk
51

Kz1
Yelimay Semey
Irtysh Pavlodar
58

Lt1
FA Siauliai
Dziugas FC
45

Uy1
Danubio FC
CA Cerro
44

Br2
Athletic Club MG
Criciúma
51

By2
FK Osipovichi
Dinamo Minsk II
49

Se3
Hammarby TTF
FBK Karlstad
40

Se4
Jönköpings Södra
BK Olympic Malmö
55

Lu1
Résidence Walferdange
FC Niedercorn
43

Lu1
F91 Dudelange
UNA Strassen
25

Lu1
Victoria Rosport
US Mondorf
28

Lu1
FC Differdange 03
US Rumelange
18

Lu1
Etzella Ettelbruck
RFCU Luxemburg
36

Lu1
UN Käerjéng
US Hostert
22

Fo1
Vikingur Gota
B68 Toftir
67

Lv2
Beitar / Riga Mariners
Tukums II
51

BrC
Oeste FC
Paulista SP
62

BrC
EC São Bernardo
Sao Caetano SP
38

BrW
Grêmio W
Cruzeiro W
47

Se4
Helges
Bollstanas
30

Se4
Nyköpings BIS
IK Sleipner
33

Se1
IFK Göteborg
Kalmar FF
56

Se1
Halmstads BK
GAIS
55

Ch1
FC Sion
FC Vaduz
54

Ch1
St Gallen
FC Luzern
54

Ch1
FC Basel
FC Thun
61

Pt2
AVS
Sporting Lisboa B
37

Pt2
CD Feirense
FC Felgueiras
49

De3
Saarbrücken
Essen
59

Cz4
Tatran Ždírec
Sokol Tasovice
34

Cz4
Velka Bites
TJ Tatran Bohunice
44

Cz4
Pelhřimov
Havlickuv Brod
30

Cz4
TJ Sokol Lanzhot
Tatran Všechovice
37

Cz4
FK Kozlovice
Bzenec
35

Cz4
ŠSK Bílovec
Opava B
36

Cz4
Kravare
Valasske Mezirici
34

Cz4
Pusta Polom
Frydlant
19

NIW
Derry City W
Lisburn Rangers W
28

Nl1
Heerenveen
Twente
59

Nl2
MVV Maastricht
Jong Utrecht
46

No1
HamKam
Aalesund FK
58

Sc1
Rangers
Hibernian
64

At1
SV Ried
Rapid Wien
43

At1
Wolfsberger AC
RB Salzburg
52

Bg2
Svoge
Pirin Blagoevgrad
47

Bg2
Rilski Sportist
Spartak Pleven
27

Bg2
Vihren Sandanski
Chernomorets 1919
49

Ua1
Veres Rivne
Dynamo Kyiv
51

Cz1
FK Jablonec
Slovacko
51

Cz1
Hradec Kralove
Banik
47

Fi1
Ilves
IFK Mariehamn
52

Sk1
MSK Zilina
MFK Skalica
45

Mk1
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija 79
36

Mk1
FK Skopje
FC Struga
19

Am1
Shirak FC
Noah
36

Lv1
Riga FC
FK Ogre
62

EFL
Mansfield
Sheffield United
70

No2
Strommen IF
Ranheim Fotball
58

No2
Sandnes Ulf
IL Hodd
52

No2
Asane Fotball
Kongsvinger
60

No2
Stromsgodset IF
Egersunds IK
56

No2
Haugesund
Raufoss IL
66

No2
Sogndal
Bryne FK
63

Se3
FC Arlanda
Piteå IF
35

Pl3
Chojniczanka
Znicz Pruszkow
51

Fi3
JS Hercules
SJK Akatemia II
48

Cz3
Sokol Brozany
FK Caslav
24

Cz3
SK Zápy
Neratovice-Byskovice
55

Cz3
FK Varnsdorf
SK Benátky n. Jiz.
51

Cz3
Ceske Budejovice
Admira Praha
62

AtL
ASKÖ Köttmannsdorf
Landskron
21

Cz4
SK Strakonice
Senco Doubravka
38

Cz4
TJ Dvůr Králové
Slavia Hradec Králové
34

Cz4
TJ Svitavy
OEZ Letohrad
32

Pl4
ŁKS Łódź II
Warta Sieradz
41

Pl4
KKS Kalisz
Unia Swarzedz
41

Pl4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Goczałkowice Zdrój
61

Pl2
Nieciecza KS
Warta Poznan
46

Pl1
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
64

Hu1
Debrecen VSC
Nyiregyhaza
52

Ro1
Petrolul Ploiesti
Otelul Galati
51

Si1
NK Aluminij
Nafta Lendava
52

Ru2
Rotor Volgograd
FK Chelyabinsk
31

Hu2
Soroksar
Diosgyori VTK
45

Hu2
Szentlorinc SE
Nagykanizsa FC
46

Hu2
Csakvari TK
Kozarmisleny SE
53

Rs2
Graficar Belgrade
FK Smederevo
36

Si2
ND Ilirija
ND Dravinja
55

Pl3
Śląsk Wrocław II
Gornik Leczna
46

AtL
Mils
Völs
2

Fi4
FC Jazz
OLS Oulu
51

SiW
O. Ljubljana W
Radomlje W
12

PlW
Ślęza Wrocław W
Czarni Sosnowiec W
34

Lt1
FK Banga
FK Suduva
49

By1
FC Gomel
FK Minsk
13

Dk1
AC Horsens
Brøndby
48

Bg1
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
33

Ie1
Shelbourne FC
St Patricks Dublin
58

Ee1
Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
61

Fi1
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
51

Ru2
FK Veles Moscow
FK Leningradets
19

Ge1
FC Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
59

Tr2
76 Igdır Belediye Spor
Fatih Karagümrük
41

Tr2
Sariyer SK
Muğlaspor
29

Is2
Volsungur
HK Kopavogur
60

Se3
Assyriska FF
Sollentuna FK
52

Lu1
Swift Hesperange
FC Wiltz
25

Pe2
Ayacucho FC
CNI Iquitos
39

ZaC
Kaizer Chiefs
Golden Arrows
47

Pt3
AD Fafe
SC Vianense
32

Pl4
Star Starachowice
KSZO Ostrowiec
33

Be1
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
45

Hr1
Slaven Belupo
NK Varaždin
39

Ba1
Borac
Velez Mostar
39

Cl1
Deportes Concepción
Univ de Concepcion
45

Cl2
Deportes Copiapó
San Luis Quillota
46

Pt3
Leça FC
São João de Ver
31

Ru1
Spartak Moscow
FK Krasnodar
35

Pt1
Porto
FC Alverca
49

At1
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
42

Bg2
Lokomotiv Gorna O.
Fratria
51

Ar2
CA Atlanta
Temperley
44

Lu1
Jeunesse Esch
FC Atert Bissen
40

Cr2
Santa Cruz FC
AD Cofutpa
33

Cr2
AD Carmelita
Santa Ana
66

Ve2
Bolívar SC (VEN)
Dinamo Puerto
17

IlC
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Ramat Gan
23

IlC
Hapoel Katamon
Hapoel Petah Tikva
39

Gt2
Gomerano
Aguacatán
19

Gt2
Puerto de Iztapa
Chichicasteco
15

Gt2
Sayaxché
Fraijanes
34

Gt2
Amatitlan
Quiché
16

SiW
Krim W
Aluminij W
19

ACW
Cameroon W
Nigeria W
35

No1
Kristiansund BK
Molde
54

Be1
Royal Antwerp
Waasland-Beveren
51

Ru1
Rubin Kazan
FK Orenburg
37

Ar2
Los Andes
Ferro Carril Oeste
41

De3
Alemannia Aachen
Verl
37

Pl3
GKS Tychy
Olimpia Grudziadz
54

Ve2
Mineros Guyana
Monagas SC B
23

ItC
US Arezzo
Union Brescia
33

Ar1
San Lorenzo
CA Huracán
44

Rs1
Macva Sabac
IMT Novi Beograd
32

Rs1
Vojvodina
Radnik Surdulica
37

Cz1
SK Lisen
Sigma Olomouc
47

Is1
Stjarnan FC
Keflavik IF
69

Is1
KA Akureyri
FH Hafnarfjordur
66

Is1
Vikingur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
56

Is1
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
68

Me1
FK Otrant
OFK Petrovac
26

Me1
FK Jezero
Mladost Donja Gorica
26

Me1
Bokelj Kotor
Sutjeska Niksic
37

Ar2
Deportivo Morón
CA Acassuso
37

Ar2
Colegiales
Patronato Paraná
47

Uy1
Defensor Sporting
Montevideo Wanderers
43

Pe1
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
34

Rs2
Backa Topola
Javor Ivanjica
47

Ar3
Deportivo Laferrere
Arsenal Sarandi
46

Ar3
Sportivo Dock Sud
San Martín Burzaco
40

Ar4
Juventud Unida SM
Puerto Nuevo
48

Ar4
CA Lugano
Victoriano Arenas
39

Ar4
Club Luján
Central Córdoba
28

Ar4
CA Atlas
Cañuelas FC
32

Gt2
Coatepecano IB
Juventud Copalera
20

BrG
Guarani RS
Veranópolis RS
28

BrG
Passo Fundo RS
Brasil de Pelotas
21

BrG
EC Pelotas RS
Bage
37

BrG
Gramadense
União Frederiquense RS
34

BrG
APAFUT
Gaúcho RS
27

BrW
Vitória BA W
Internacional RS W
40

BrW
Juventude W
Mixto W
48

MxW
Puebla W
Guadalajara W
57

Pl1
Jagiellonia
Widzew Lodz
38

Bg1
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA-Sofia
51

Si1
Maribor
FC Koper
47

Si1
NK Bravo
Grosuplje
39

Pe2
Cesar Vallejo
Molinos El Pirata
37

Ro1
CS Univ Craiova
Arges Pitesti
46

Ar2
Colon Santa Fe
San Telmo
40

Tr2
Van BB
Kayserispor
42

Tr2
Bodrumspor SK
Bursaspor
16

BrG
Lajeadense RS
Esportivo RS
16

Br1
Palmeiras
Internacional
58

Br1
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
49

Hr1
Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
55

Rs1
OFK Beograd
Zeleznicar Pancevo
41

Rs1
Mladost Lucani
Cukaricki Belgrade
47

Ba1
Zrinjski Mostar
Celik Zenica
44

Ar2
Mitre SdE
Defensores de Belgrano
46

Ar2
Racing de Cordoba
CA San Miguel
49

Bo1
GV San José
Always Ready
53

Cl1
O Higgins
Limache
56

Br2
Nautico
Atlético GO
56

Br2
Novorizontino SP
Juventude
48

Py1
CS San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
48

Br3
Maringá FC PR
Amazonas
47

Br3
Ypiranga RS
Floresta CE
54

ItC
Benevento Calcio
Ravenna
22

Cl2
Rangers Talca
Curicó Unido
48

Cr2
ADR Jicaral
AD Sarchí
41

VeC
Bolívar SC (VEN)
Dinamo Puerto
20

BrW
Corinthians W
Santos W
42

Pt1
SL Benfica
Académico Viseu
51

Pt1
Moreirense FC
Sporting Braga
45

Pt1
Gil Vicente
Rio Ave
48

Ar2
Godoy Cruz
Chaco For Ever
37

Ve1
Academia Anzoátegui
Portuguesa
35

Ve2
Atlético Ávila
Aragua
33

LC
Seattle Sounders
Querétaro FC
59

Ar2
Quilmes AC
Club Almagro
43

Ve1
Zamora
Puerto Cabello
46

Ve1
Trujillanos FC
Deportivo Tachira
30

Cl3
Colchagua CD
Santiago City
42

ACW
Malawi W
Ghana W
52

Is1
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
70

Ar2
Gimnasia y Tiro
Nueva Chicago
44

Pe1
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
34

Pe2
Comerciantes
Bentín Tacna Heroica
42

Ar1
Gimnasia La Plata
Barracas Central
44

Ar1
Defensa y Justicia
Newell’s Old Boys
44

Ar2
San Martín Tucumán
San Martin San Juan
46

Cr1
Inter San Carlos
San Carlos
32

Hn1
Juticalpa
CD Olimpia
54

Br2
Cuiabá
Fortaleza
53

Gt1
San Pedro
Suchitepéquez
51

Ec1
Delfin SC
Orense SC
34

Sv1
Cacahuatique
Fuerte San Francisco
40

Pa1
Unión Coclé
Veraguas CD
39

Us2
Indy Eleven
Hartford Athletic
62

BrW
São Paulo W
RB Bragantino W
47

Co1
Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Bucaramanga
42

Bo1
Real Potosí
Blooming
46

Br1
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
41

Br1
Santos
Atlético PR
49

Cl1
Unión La Calera
Colo Colo
48

Uy1
Nacional (URU)
Boston River
46

Py1
Nacional Asunción
Club Guaraní
37

Br3
Itabaiana SE
Caxias RS
58

Br3
Maranhão MA
Brusque FC SC
67

Cl3
CD Trasandino
Deportes Linares
49

MxW
Atlético San Luis W
Tijuana W
47

Br1
Flamengo
Vitória
47

Ve1
Metropolitanos
UCV FC
27

Gt1
CSD Municipal
Cobán Imperial
57

Ni1
San Marcos
UNAN Managua
40

Tomorrow’s tips
How a corner bet is settled
Most bookmakers count the corners in the 90 minutes plus added time, using the match’s official data. Extra time normally doesn’t count. Details such as a corner awarded just before the whistle, or one that’s overturned on review, can be treated differently from one bookmaker to the next, so read the rules where you bet.
Bets on a single team’s corners, or on corner handicaps, work like goal handicaps: you add or subtract corners from one side before comparing the totals.
How many corners a match has
Across 33,323 league matches, the average was 9.78 corners and the middle value was 10. The lines are set close to that, which is why corners are so evenly balanced.
| Line | Over landed |
|---|---|
| 8.5 | 62.6% |
| 9.5 | 50.9% |
| 10.5 | 39.2% |
| 11.5 | 28.8% |
Each half corner on the line takes roughly 11 points off the chance of the over. That’s why 9.5 is a coin flip and why the over at 11.5 needs a reason. The totals bunch around 9 to 11, and about one match in 20 reaches 16 or more.
League by league
The league sets the baseline. The Scottish Premiership averaged 10.62 corners, the Premier League 10.33 and the Eredivisie 10.25. At the other end, the Greek Super League averaged 8.79 and Ligue 2 9.12.
That gap changes the bet. Over 9.5 landed in 61.3% of Scottish Premiership matches and 38.7% of Greek Super League ones. The same line is a very different proposition in the two leagues.
Home teams win the corner count more often than away teams. They took 54.9% of all corners.
Strong teams take more corners
The favourite’s price is the best guide to who takes the corners. A favourite priced at 75% or better took 73.4% of the corners, averaging 7.71 against the opponent’s 2.79. It won the corner count in 84.5% of matches, and the match itself in 83.7%.
For an even match, the share is near 50-50. The total number of corners barely moves with the strength of the favourite: 9.64 when the favourite was under 45%, 10.50 above 75%.
Corners and the scoreline
Corners are a poor guide to who wins. The team with more corners won 38.4% of matches, drew 26.3% and lost 35.3%, hardly better than chance. Teams that trail at half-time take more of them. The home share of corners was 58.1% when the home side was behind at the break, 55.3% when the match was level and 51.8% when it led.
Corners and goals don’t move together either. The link between a match’s corner count and its goals was -0.016, practically nothing.
How much do team averages tell you?
Not much. We took 28,076 matches where both teams had played at least six games and averaged each side’s corners. We then compared the pair’s average with the actual total.
When the pair averaged under 9.25, the match went over 9.5 in 41% to 44% of cases. When it averaged 10.75 to 11.5, it went over 60.4%. That’s a useful spread, though a modest one.
The correlation between the pair’s average and the real total was only 0.147.
When both teams averaged 11 corners or more, the match averaged 10.88. When both averaged 9 or fewer, it averaged 8.92.
Five rules for corner tips
- Start from the league. The Scottish Premiership and the Greek Super League are 1.8 corners apart.
- Mind the line. Each half corner changes the odds of the over by about 11 points.
- Use both teams. A pair average over 10.75 gave the over 9.5 in about three matches out of five.
- Expect more corners from trailing home sides. Teams chasing the game attack more.
- Don’t read the score from corners. More corners didn’t mean more goals or more wins.
Common mistakes
The first is picking a line because it looks round. 9.5 is a coin flip in most leagues.
The second is assuming a dominant team means more corners in total. The total moved only about a corner between weak and very strong favourites.
The third is ignoring settlement rules, which vary more for corners than for most bets.
Questions people ask
How many corners are there in an average match? 9.78 across the 18 leagues in our data.
Which league has the most corners? The Scottish Premiership, at 10.62 a match.
Which has the fewest? The Greek Super League, at 8.79.
Do corners count in extra time? Normally not.
Are corners predictable? Less than goals. A pair’s average gives a small edge and the correlation is low.
What does a corner handicap mean? One team starts with a corner advantage or deficit, like a goal handicap.
Where are tomorrow’s and the weekend’s tips? On the tomorrow page and the weekend page.
Tips are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and a stake should be money you can do without.